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Market Intelligence

Integrated Market Intelligence System

At Arcus Policy Research, our Market Intelligence function builds data-driven systems to monitor, analyze, and forecast agricultural commodity prices across the value chain—from farm gate to retail. We integrate multi-source data on production, supply-demand balance, trade, policies, and macroeconomic indicators into a unified analytical platform. Using econometric, time-series, and machine learning models, we predict price movements, assess transmission margins, and simulate policy impacts such as MSP changes, import duties, or export bans. Our cloud-based dashboards provide real-time insights, scenario analysis, and CPI-linked inflation tracking, enabling our clients and other stakeholders to make proactive, evidence-based policy decisions and ensure market stability through timely interventions. 

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| Market Intelligence | Daily Updates | LLM Access | Intelligent | Automation | AI |

| Market Intelligence | Daily Updates | LLM Access | Intelligent | Automation | AI |

| Market Intelligence | Daily Updates | LLM Access | Intelligent | Automation | AI |

| Market Intelligence | Daily Updates | LLM Access | Intelligent | Automation | AI |

| Market Intelligence | Daily Updates | LLM Access | Intelligent | Automation | AI |

| Market Intelligence | Daily Updates | LLM Access | Intelligent | Automation | AI |

How we help clients

Data Acquisition & Integration

Data Cleaning & Feature Engineering

Data Cleaning & Feature Engineering

 Agricultural Production.  Supply Factors.  Demand Factors. Policy Inputs.  Macro Indicators.  External Drivers.

Data Cleaning & Feature Engineering

Data Cleaning & Feature Engineering

Data Cleaning & Feature Engineering

 Data harmonization. Feature generation

Analytical & Predictive Modules

Data Cleaning & Feature Engineering

Analytical & Predictive Modules

 Supply-Demand Balance Model.  Price Prediction Engine.  Price Transmission Mode.  Policy Simulation Engine.  CPI Adjustment & Inflation Linkage. 

Decision Intelligence

Data Cleaning & Feature Engineering

Analytical & Predictive Modules

 Forecasts.  Policy Impact.  Elasticities.  Inflation Impact.  Retail Benchmarking. 

System Workflow

Model Validation & Calibration

Dashboard Components

 Data Sources → ETL Pipeline → Analytical Model Stack → Forecast Outputs → Dashboard Interface 

Dashboard Components

Model Validation & Calibration

Dashboard Components

 Forecast Trends. Supply-Demand Monitor. Policy Simulator. Retail Price Index. Inflation Monitor.

Model Validation & Calibration

Model Validation & Calibration

Model Validation & Calibration

Sensitivity checks for policy shocks.. Cross-validation across commodities and states. Regular retraining cadence (monthly/quarterly).

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